Occam's Razor: When faced with competing hypotheses, choose the one with the fewest assumptions. Sunk Cost Fallacy: What you've invested is irrelevant to whether you should continue investing. Dunning-Kruger Effect: The less competent someone is, the more they overestimate their competence. Hanlon's Razor: Never attribute to malice what can be explained by stupidity. Grice's Razor: In conversation, say only what is true, relevant, and clear. Hitchen's Razor: What can be asserted without evidence can be dismissed without evidence. The Arena Razor: Pay more attention to people who have skin in the game.
"A farmer in a small village was considered very well-off because he had a horse, which he used to plow and do other work. One day, his horse ran away. All his neighbors came to console him, saying how unfortunate it was. The farmer replied, 'Maybe.'
A few days later, the horse returned, bringing with it several wild horses. The neighbors came again, this time to congratulate the farmer on his good fortune. Again, the farmer only said, 'Maybe.'
The following week, the farmer's son was trying to tame one of the wild horses and was thrown off, breaking his leg. The neighbors once again came to offer their sympathy for this stroke of bad luck. The farmer's response was still, 'Maybe.'
Not long after, a war broke out, and all able-bodied young men were conscripted. However, the farmer's son was spared due to his broken leg. The neighbors congratulated the farmer on how well things had turned out, to which he replied, 'Maybe.'" Wu wei
凉风轻轻吹到悄然进了我衣襟 夏天偷去听不见声音 日子匆匆走过倍令我有百感生 记挂那一片景象缤纷 随风轻轻吹到你步进了我的心 在一息间改变我一生 付出多少热诚也没法去计得真 却也不需再惊惧风雨侵 吹呀吹 让这风吹 抹干眼眸里亮晶的眼泪 吹呀吹 让这风吹 哀伤通通带走 管风里是谁 从风沙初起想到是季节变更 梦中醒却岁月如飞奔 是否早订下来你或我也会变心 慨叹怎么会久合终要分 狂风吹得起劲朗日也要被蔽隐 泛起一片迷朦尘埃滚 掠走心里一切美梦带去那欢欣 带去我的爱只是独留恨 吹呀吹 让这风吹 抹干眼眸里亮晶的眼泪 吹呀吹 让这风吹 哀伤通通带走 管风里是谁
周轶君 记者•1970年代出生的正宗处女座，1998年毕业于北京第二外国语学院阿拉伯语系，随后进入新华社工作。2002年6月，出任新华社驻巴以地区记者，成为唯一常驻加沙的国际记者。2005年出书《离上帝最近—一女记者的中东故事》，记录她在中东的所见所闻。2006年进入香港凤凰卫视任职至今。曾多次采访过阿拉法特，阿巴斯，亚辛等中东关键人物。第二届CCTV“中国记者风云榜”得主。她的《在埃及数骆驼》一文被编进了九年义务教育六年级第二学期课本。
社会学者费孝通正在研究江苏新旧交替的中国农村，并写出了乡村社会学名著《乡土中国》。书中他引用了西方学者的概念，来形容二十世纪四十年代中国传统乡村家庭所受到的精神冲击：“乡土社会是个安稳的社会，家是绵续性的事业社群。就如奥斯瓦尔德·斯宾格勒在《西方陆沉论》里提出的文化模式——亚普罗式。亚普罗式的文化认定宇宙的安排有一个完善的秩序，这种秩序超于人力的创造，人不过是去接受它，安于其位，维持它。现代的文化却是浮士德式的。他们把冲突看成存在的基础，生命是阻碍的克服。没有了阻碍，生命也就失去了意义。他们把前途看成无尽的创造过程，不断地变。”